In the presenter's worldview it seems as though a lot of subtle details are ignored or just not seen, whereas in reality seemingly subtle details can sometimes be hugely important. Consider Ruby vs Python, for example. From a 10,000 foot view they almost look like the same language, but at a practical level they are very different. And a lot of that comes down to the details. There are dozens of new languages within the last few decades or so that share almost all of the same grab bag of features in a broad sense but where the rubber meets the road end up being very different languages with very different strengths. Consider, for example, C# vs Go vs Rust vs Coffeescript vs Lua. They are all hugely different languages but they are also very closely related languages.
I suspect that the killer programming medium of 2050 isn't going to be some transformatively different methodology for programming that is unrecognizable to us, it's going to be something with a lot of similarities to things I've listed above but with a different set of design choices and tradeoffs, with a more well put together underlying structure and tooling, and likely with a few new ways of doing old things thrown in and placed closer to the core than we're used to today (my guess would be error handling, testing, compiling, package management, and revision control).
There is just so much potential in plain jane text based programming that I find it odd that someone would so easily clump it into a single category and write it all off at the same time. It's a medium that can embrace everything from Java on the one hand to Haskell or lisp on the other, we haven't come anywhere close to reaching the limits of expressiveness available in text-based programming.
You can cast this entire comment in terms of hex/assembler vs C/Fortran and you get the same logical form.
We haven't come anywhere close to reaching the limits of expressiveness in assembler either, yet we've mostly given up on it for better things.
Try arguing the devil's argument position. What can you come up with that's might be better than text-based programming? Nothing? We're really in the best of all possible worlds?
I suspect that the killer programming medium of 2050 isn't going to be some transformatively different methodology for programming that is unrecognizable to us, it's going to be something with a lot of similarities to things I've listed above but with a different set of design choices and tradeoffs, with a more well put together underlying structure and tooling, and likely with a few new ways of doing old things thrown in and placed closer to the core than we're used to today (my guess would be error handling, testing, compiling, package management, and revision control).
There is just so much potential in plain jane text based programming that I find it odd that someone would so easily clump it into a single category and write it all off at the same time. It's a medium that can embrace everything from Java on the one hand to Haskell or lisp on the other, we haven't come anywhere close to reaching the limits of expressiveness available in text-based programming.