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I spent a little bit of time poking at Gemini to see what it thought the accident rate in an urban area like Austin would be, including unreported minor cases. It estimated 2-3/100k miles. This is still lower than the extrapolation in the article, but maybe not notably lower.

We need far higher quality data than this to reach meaningful conclusions. Implying conclusions based upon this extrapolation is irresponsible.





I don't understand how Gemini's fabrication has any validity. What is it based on?

It is at least as reliable as the data in the electrek article. My point is that the data naturally has error margins that are clearly large enough to make drawing concrete conclusions impossible.

> It is at least as reliable as the data in the electrek article.

I don't see why you say that.

> My point is that the data naturally has error margins that are clearly large enough to make drawing concrete conclusions impossible.

I don't understand this one either.




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