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(I wrote the original article.)

You're absolutely right about open platforms and protocols being about lots of people taking risks and building hugely valuable things. My point was that when the core OS is innovating like mad, you need to be close to those OS's to build the best apps... The innovation on the desktop slowed to a crawl years ago, and the majority of innovation has moved to the browser and web-app layer. In mobile, however, there's a LOT of innovation still happening right at the OS level w/ Android and iOS, and so all the frameworks that exist above the native SDK's are going to lag, and not take best advantage of the innovations being released at the OS layer.

The speed of mobile OS innovation will invariably slow (like it did on the desktop), but until then, philosophy about open platforms aside, iOS and Android show no signs of being displaced as the real mobile OS / platform drivers... and so, native's going to lead HTML5 / other "open" platforms for a while.



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