>"Demis Hassabis' very recent estimate was for 50% chance of AGI by 2030 (i.e. s... | Hacker News

Hacker Newsnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit

		aorobin 6 months ago \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Claude Sonnet 4 now supports 1M tokens of context >"Demis Hassabis' very recent estimate was for 50% chance of AGI by 2030 (i.e. still 15 years out)." 2030 is only 5 years out

Zircom 6 months ago [–]

That was his point lol, if someone is saying it'll happen in 5 years, triple that for a real estimate.

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact