I believe in Demmis when he says we are 10 years away from - from AGI.
He basically made up the field (out of academia) for a large number of years and OpenAI was partially founded to counteract his lab, and the fears that he would be there first (and only).
So I trust him. Sometime around 2035 he expects there will be AGI which he believes is as good or better than humans in virtually every task.
When someone says 10 years out in tech it means there are several needed breakthroughs that they think could possibly happen if things go just right. Being an expert doesn't make the 10 years more accurate, it makes the 'breakthroughs needed' part more meaningful.
Well, even being part of Google doesn't mean that you have infinite funds at your disposal. Recently, his startup raised 600 million.
"The drug development artificial intelligence (AI) startup founded by Google DeepMind co-founder and CEO Demis Hassabis has raised $600 million in its first external funding round."
Still it's the sales pitch that allowed it. This is why I'm sceptical about his AGI views. Is this his genuine opinion or just the hype he's interested in sustaining as an AI startup owner?
Agreed, I was blown away by some of his achievements, like AlphaGo. Still I'm not very much convinced that AGI is around the corner yet, even if he appears to claim otherwise.
He basically made up the field (out of academia) for a large number of years and OpenAI was partially founded to counteract his lab, and the fears that he would be there first (and only).
So I trust him. Sometime around 2035 he expects there will be AGI which he believes is as good or better than humans in virtually every task.