Yes they are, actually! I've talked to people who obsessively read practically every LLM paper that passes through the arxiv, with undeniably deep and broad knowledge of the current state of this tech, who seriously believe it's going to surpass humans within a year or two. That it may already have, in the deep dark top secret labs beneath OpenAI HQ.
However,
> If you're saying that mainstream reporting and other non-tech folks are wrong about what the possibilities are then... obviously.
If it was obvious then why are you still replying to my comments, which have very obviously been specifically addressing the mismatch between hype and reality? If the current approach doesn't scale, the hype will have been a bust! Objectively! That's what I've been talking about this whole time!
"Mainstream reporting and other non-tech folks" is a bit disingenuous, though. The primary drivers of the current unrealistic hype are software vendors and associated clingers-on looking to make a quick buck. They'll say anything, regardless of whether it's true, and as a result of those mostly-falsehoods our public lives will be flooded with awful AI tools that make everything shittier and more difficult. I can't wait!
Yes they are, actually! I've talked to people who obsessively read practically every LLM paper that passes through the arxiv, with undeniably deep and broad knowledge of the current state of this tech, who seriously believe it's going to surpass humans within a year or two. That it may already have, in the deep dark top secret labs beneath OpenAI HQ.
However,
> If you're saying that mainstream reporting and other non-tech folks are wrong about what the possibilities are then... obviously.
If it was obvious then why are you still replying to my comments, which have very obviously been specifically addressing the mismatch between hype and reality? If the current approach doesn't scale, the hype will have been a bust! Objectively! That's what I've been talking about this whole time!
"Mainstream reporting and other non-tech folks" is a bit disingenuous, though. The primary drivers of the current unrealistic hype are software vendors and associated clingers-on looking to make a quick buck. They'll say anything, regardless of whether it's true, and as a result of those mostly-falsehoods our public lives will be flooded with awful AI tools that make everything shittier and more difficult. I can't wait!