You’re being downvoted by people who don’t have a good argument against you
To them Silver could have said Trump had a 1% chance of winning, and they would still be saying “yOu dOnT uNdErStaNd stAtIstIcS!!1”
Basically, a lot of people really really really wanted to believe Hillary winning was a sure thing. They ignored any and all data saying “maybe she won’t”
And now you can see the effect looking back - these people are still so salty about that bitter loss that they come in here and say that giving Trump a <30% chance of winning was absolutely the right call and if you don’t see that then you’re an idiot who can’t grasp statistics
Literally - half the comments responding to me was this vitriolic idiocy. They can’t think, they’re emotions have overridden that
That’s why they downvoted you for accurately pointing out that there’s no such thing as knowing that a statistical guess was “right”
They’re downvoting you because you upset them by making them accept reality. That they were wrong and the Hillary couldn’t win.
To them Silver could have said Trump had a 1% chance of winning, and they would still be saying “yOu dOnT uNdErStaNd stAtIstIcS!!1”
Basically, a lot of people really really really wanted to believe Hillary winning was a sure thing. They ignored any and all data saying “maybe she won’t”
And now you can see the effect looking back - these people are still so salty about that bitter loss that they come in here and say that giving Trump a <30% chance of winning was absolutely the right call and if you don’t see that then you’re an idiot who can’t grasp statistics
Literally - half the comments responding to me was this vitriolic idiocy. They can’t think, they’re emotions have overridden that
That’s why they downvoted you for accurately pointing out that there’s no such thing as knowing that a statistical guess was “right”
They’re downvoting you because you upset them by making them accept reality. That they were wrong and the Hillary couldn’t win.