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> it seems to me like the stock price should be a good indicator of this?

Successful value investors like Warren Buffet have proven time and again that the stock price is often wrong. They are so rich only because others are so often so wrong (paraphrased from Charlie Munger).



Buffet’s insane returns are numerically more to do with how long he’s been in the market:

> $81.5 of Warren Buffett’s $84.5 billion net worth came after his 65th birthday. (Housel)


Stock prices can be right or wrong. Here’s the interesting question - What should Facebook financials look like to justify its stock price now? You can read “Expectations Investing” to find out the approx “correctness” of $FB current market price.


Warren Buffet being able to pick stocks better than the market doesn’t mean that a HN commenter will be right about a given stock though. Anyone here could easily be of the others who are “so often so wrong”




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