That's the sort of snarky dismissal we've been trying to cut back on here. There's nothing special about predicting the failure of a venture. That's like predicting normal weather, only in a cynical voice to make it sound contrarian. You will be right 99% of the time, and your cynicism will have its return on investment, a smug chortle. But this game is of no (intellectual) interest. If you could predict a tornado or an earthquake, that would be interesting.

Yeah, I'm not trying to say I am a genius (no pun) to predict them bombing. I just thought it was funny in context to have pmarca chime in on the topic. And props to him for actually engaging with snarky a-holes on internet forums.

(And my linked comment did contain a juxtaposition about a16z's purported investment strategy and their Genius investment, so I don't think the retroactive chiding is entirely called for.)

I don't mean to be a pill, yes it's fun to read pmarca's reply, and I appreciate your being a good sport. But I still think your comment deserved its chiding.

When a thing happens 99% of the time, its happening again doesn't mean there was any truth, or even any information, in your reasoning. You might just as easily have linked it to A16Z's cafeteria as their consumer strategy. Whether or not they have a cafeteria.

(I'm not assuming this startup has failed, of course; the point about snarky dismissals holds either way.)

"Nope. We don't do those. It's the real deal. One of the fastest growing consumer properties of all time with huge market opportunity." is not heckling.

"Good luck in jail" sure is.

It's an innocent joke about his username.

I don't think anyone said it was a capital crime. I believe the word used was "heckling".

My mistake.

I think they were referring to the "good luck in jail" comment

I think that was a reference to the OP's nick, sfjailbird. Hard to see how it could be taken as disparaging in that context...

Keep predicting because it's a top 200 website and by no definition has it failed.