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Kudos that hackernews homepage didn't gain any bloat in 10 years -- still about 50kb .

Nearly Everything consequential in history was unexpected, and for the most part we have a record of someone important saying "that will never happen"

There's also a long history of tragic events happening precisely because everyone was preparing for them (see: WWI) and of course, of horribly wrong choices getting prepared for things that never happened.

WW1 wasn’t “started by preparation”. In fact it was the continuation of about 100 years of war, and the war continued for nearly 100 years afterward. Europe had been at war nearly continuously from Napoleon to 2000 .

Interesting! What are some battles of this war between 1946 to 2000, and what happened in 2000 to stop it?

Soviet Occupation of Europe, "Cold War", which was very hot with arms race, intel, nuclear deployments, naval skirmishes, proxy wars, Yugoslavia War.

It didn't end in 2000, really it expanded.


The partition of Europe between the two victors of WW2 (USA and USSR) was part of the peace, not a state of war. The cold war wasn't a war inside Europe but between two rival superpowers; the Yugoslavia war wasn't one between EU countries but a civil war result of a change in external conditions.

If you're living under an occupied military force, you are still at war, not peace.

it wasn't partitioned. USSR invaded and captured that territory in 1939. It was an agreement with Hitler, not Roosevelt.

Yalta happened well after everyone had been killed and the dust settled. Roosevelt chickened out.

Go visit the Occupation museum in Riga for the actual history, instead of reading US text books.


And Stalin continued to take territory even later, moving into East Germany, Czechoslovakia, etc . Continuing with military pressure over the later years.

you're kidding right.

... and an equally long history of people "avoiding war", while refusing to be reasonable, right up to the point that a gigantic war becomes unavoidable. People will choose to go to war over a prolonged economic crisis. Such a crisis can easily be avoided by countries working together rather than push costs onto each other, but in any actual crisis they never do cooperate.

And of course, WWII would be an example of that. It was also far worse than WWI, including for Ireland. So there's even a very strong case that this is a self-destructive attitude for Ireland.

But if history teaches us anything, whether the example of the Weimar republic or anything else, it's that you can tell people this all you want. You can show how bad things are and how the situation cannot continue, people will NEVER accept what needs to be done, if it has to be done by them.

For example, right now it's pretty damn obvious European shared military presence in the East Sea and in Eastern European countries is a very desirable thing indeed. Every other EU country, and several others like Switzerland, have committed to put forward about 5% of GDP towards this (>10% of their total government budget) ... so it would seem only fair Ireland joins them, after all, without that presence Ireland's economy cannot keep working, because it cannot export or import freely. Ireland is letting other people pay for its safety, giving nothing in return, but Ireland is competing with them for the rewards of that safety. And your very comment shows that you're arguing to not do it, illustrating the problem. Of course, profiting economically of other countries while abandoning them militarily is exactly why Russia (and even China) think they can just conquer them. If that happens, it would be a total disaster for Ireland. But nobody cares.

And of course, Ireland is not currently in an economic crisis, quite the opposite, and could easily cooperate ... but doesn't. We can only imagine what will happen when inevitably, a crisis does come.

In fact Ireland currently has tax laws that let it essentially tax all of Europe (letting the FANG companies take profits out of Europe tax-free in return for jobs in Ireland, that are then heavily taxed by the Irish government. The employees of those companies are heavily taxed, btw, NOT the companies themselves). That's what the current Irish government actually prides itself on. Stealing tax revenue from it's main allies. Seriously.

So just so we're clear: Ireland is destroying corporate tax income in 30 EU countries, in trade for jobs, not filled by Irish people, in Dublin, so those can be taxed at >50%. This is, by the way, what the Irish government prides itself on, and it is why living in Dublin has basically become impossibly expensive.

It is also forcing the EU tax system to become 10x more complicated than it already is (the EU is working to have multinationals pay taxes in the countries where they make money, so any advantage of having a tax domicile in a specific country disappears. But of course, this will be complicated, to put it mildly)


It’s more like drugs in that they will be less effective , but not completely, so we will continue to get more exposures as advertisers compete for attention

I'm no prude, but I'm finding horror, pharma & sex ads to be incredibly disturbing in how they are presented. Google TV takes over my wall with moderately graphic horror movie ads. My family members aren't comfortable with horror and they have no way to use the TV otherwise. It's unsetting in the middle of the night. And graphic pharma ads for stomach turning skin disorders and other inappropriate disorders play even during casual, family content. And most of the sexual content is not family friendly -- even I find it awkward to have on the wall, especially when my parents visit.

These devices used to be ours with some level of control, and now they are all remotely managed to present awful content at all hours


At least with the pharma commercials they don't get "real" about living with a given disease. It's like stock footage of old people canoeing in slow motion and stuff.

You're right that most pharma are generic korean karaoke parlor videos, but a few of them show really gross sores, rashes that I don't want burned into my brain by an 85'' screen

The timing is just unsettling like i'm having a laugh and then subliminally the next frame is a raw skin lesion


Google TV showing ads on the home screen convinced me to buy an Apple TV. Had to go back to a set-top box - to use the same apps I have built into the TV - just because Apple won't spam me with this shit.

Apple won't spam you with this shit yet

Rumors are that Apple Maps advertising is incoming soon


the only way they will continue with AppleTV (TV+) is to put ads. they haven't gained enough subscribers to keep that business unit solvent.

It's a good tip, I may end up doing that. I'm hoping that Apple has better standards for third party streaming apps (just yesterday I made a Ask HN post about how terrible they are)

in general yes, but there is still lost opportunity.

This is true for nearly any business until the scales tip in the other direction.

"People come to mcdonalds for the burgers not the bathrooms" until eventually enough pain points (bathrooms, service, punctuality, traffic etc) make them stop coming


The app store reviews reveal that consumers do care about performance, even the non technical ones.

What do revenues reveal?

revenues don't reveal anything because they are the sum of thousands of noisy vectors. that's why surveys, reviews, customer studies, NPS etc are all done to try to figure out retention.

that reminds me of how Hulu struggles playing trailers. it takes 30 seconds for the audio and video streams to sync up

i agree with the high level (budget, corner cutting), but I'm curious about deliberate decisions to build things so awfully. some of these decisions take more work to do wrong than right (android keeps activities resident, for example -- unloading ads layers is trivial)

they are black friday deals where you get a year for $30

I am sure there are also deals where I can get a monthly anal probe with a cactus. I won’t be doing that either. Actually it’s a toss up as far as which one is worse.

netflix ads tier was very usable for the first month, then the ads became suffocating.

all the other ads tiers are pretty painful. but none are as bad as broadcast TV.

I don't watch streaming a lot, and the Ads tiers are a great way to use the service for a month or two until I tire.


The last time I watched broadcast TV, I had a DirectTV box with first TiVo and later their own pretty good DVR. I think I had my first DirectTivo in 2003. It’s been over two decades since I sat through commercials regularly outside of the occasional big event sports as social gatherings or award shows we watch live to discuss with friends on social media

they can be a welcome break. if you mute the ads, they are hardly distracting. good time to check the phone, get a snack etc.

The ads are repetitive usually drugs or snacks so they are easy to tune out.


a bit better benevolent:malicious ratio than the real world

2/3rds of people in the world are malicious?

2/3 of resources will typically be spent by malicious/nefarious/abusive users.

[edit] for clarity


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