Problem there is that you're exposing the participants to volatility risk. if btc drops in price then people might be less likely to participate.
Many view bitcoin as a great new technology but its price is still too unstable to actually quote products/prices/prices in.
Quote in dollars, delivery bitcoin and everyone wins
Only if you ignore that the 3rd person would get the 0.8 BTC (as long as the scheme goes on). At some point he stops, but how much money he made depends exactly on how many people he didn't pay back. So, in the simplest case:
Time | Event
1 | First person pays 1 BTC
The creator makes 1 BTC in this case. Even better return.
my thought process is:
one large BTC pool. all transactions are feed into the pool. the order of the deposits dictate priority of withdrawal. Owner does not skim the transactions, only makes a large initial deposit and then markets the site like crazy.
Big assumption here is that he is running an "honest" ponzi operation.