mRNA could be said to be in the trough of disillusionment -- didn't prevent COVID as initially promised, and has problems like causing heart damage in rare cases.
This disillusionment is evidenced by lower proportion of people seeking to take such injections now.
The trough of disillusionment really refers to serious analysis of a technology's problems, not idiotic conspiracy theories spread on Twitter. This is like saying 5G entered the trough of disillusionment because of the threat of telepathic Zionists.
In Realityland, the COVID vaccine was an overwhelming success.
The checklist doesn't have to be perfect. Just continually improve it.
I keep several checklists - some I use several times a week, others every few months or so. If I notice something needs to be added to the checklist or removed, I do so.
It's always better to start with an imperfect checklist vs not having any checklist at all. With no checklist, you start from scratch every single time. Not starting from scratch allows you to focus on marginal improvements with each use.
I did this at a previous job for running a complicated regression test (that couldn't be fully automated for reasons). I initially did this for myself as the regression test wasn't run that often. I also made sure that anyone new to the department would have to run the regression test and report/update with any missing steps.
If your checklist is PITA to got through, then completing it will more like to lure you into that false sense of security that you might even miss something obvious.
IMO the best way is to start small, and every time checklist didn't catch an issue either modify existing item(s) or add new item(s). Organic complexity is the best complexity.
My colleague worked at car assembly line as a student. It’s brutal. For hours you count seconds and do the repetitive task hundreds of times. He didn’t last long. There’s no competition though, the line stops always for pre-defined time.
Good idea! There are certainly some ads where I think "no way that would fly today." Though its not necessarily being PC or not (because a lot of the ads would be considered offensive today). It more like "What were they thinking, this ad makes no sense"
I think it is a very underestimated aspect of how "simple" inventions came out so late.
An interesting one is the bicycle. The bicycle we all know (safety bicycle) is deceivingly advanced technology, with pneumatic tires, metal tube frame, chain and sprocket, etc... there is no way it could have been done much earlier. It needs precision manufacturing as well as strong and lightweight materials for such a "simple" idea to make sense.
It also works for science, for example, general relativity would have never been discovered if it wasn't for precise measurements as the problem with Newtonian gravity would have never been apparent. And precise measurement requires precise instrument, which require precise manufacturing, which require good materials, etc...
For this pyramid, not only the physical part required advanced manufacturing, but they did a computer search for the shape, and a computer is the ultimate precision manufacturing, we are working at the atom level here!
To support your point, and pre-empt some obvious objections:
- I've ridden a bike with a bamboo frame - it worked fine, but I don't think it was very durable.
- I've seen a video of a belt- (rather than chain-) driven bike - the builder did not recommend.
You maybe get there a couple of decades sooner with a bamboo penny-farthing, but whatever you build relies on smooth roads and light-weight wheels. You don't get all of the tech and infrastructure lining up until late-nineteenth c. Europe.
It's funny, I was wondering about the exact example of a bicycle a few days ago and ended up having a conversation with Claude about it (which, incidentally, made the same point you did). It struck me as remarkable (and still does) that this method of locomotion was always physically possible and yet was not discovered/invented until so recently. On its face, it seems like the most important invention that makes the bicycle possible is the wheel, which has been around for 6,000 years!
When stuck I do what I call "prepping". Don't try to do the task, just prep for it -- clean the room, the desk, close distracting websites, gather the materials.
It's lowering the activation energy so the reaction can happen more easily.
I notice cleaning had a huge effect on greasing the wheels for me. It's the decluttering for me which I think prevents me from thinking about all the stuff on the counter in some far off place in my mind.
cleaning for me is just another form of procrastination. the reason i think that is because once i am done cleaning i feel no better or more motivated to do the work. on the contrary i feel frustrated by how much time i spent cleaning up.
